A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

GAMI; Lea Berrang-Ford; A. R. Siders; Alexandra Lesnikowski; Alexandra Paige Fischer; Max W. Callaghan; Neal R. Haddaway; Katharine J. Mach; Malcolm Araos; Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah; Mia Wannewitz; Deepal Doshi; Timo Leiter; Custodio Matavel; Justice Issah Musah-Surugu; Gabrielle Wong-Parodi; Philip Antwi-Agyei; Idowu Ajibade; Neha Chauhan; William Kakenmaster; Caitlin Grady; Vasiliki I. Chalastani; Kripa Jagannathan; Eranga K. Galappaththi; Asha Sitati; Giulia Scarpa; Edmond Totin; Katy Davis; Nikita Charles Hamilton; Christine J. Kirchhoff; Praveen Kumar; Brian Pentz; Nicholas P. Simpson; Emily Theokritoff; Delphine Deryng; Diana Reckien; Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo; Nicola Ulibarri; Alcade C. Segnon; Vhalinavho Khavhagali; Yuanyuan Shang; Luckson Zvobgo; Zinta Zommers; Jiren Xu; Portia Adade Williams; Ivan Villaverde Canosa; Nicole van Maanen; Bianca van Bavel; Maarten van Aalst; Lynée L. Turek-Hankins; Shuaib Lwasa

doi:10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

GAMI, Lea Berrang-Ford^*, A. R. Siders, Alexandra Lesnikowski, Alexandra Paige Fischer, Max W. Callaghan, Neal R. Haddaway, Katharine J. Mach, Malcolm Araos, Mohammad Aminur Rahman Shah, Mia Wannewitz, Deepal Doshi, Timo Leiter, Custodio Matavel, Justice Issah Musah-Surugu, Gabrielle Wong-Parodi, Philip Antwi-Agyei, Idowu Ajibade, Neha Chauhan, William KakenmasterCaitlin Grady, Vasiliki I. Chalastani, Kripa Jagannathan, Eranga K. Galappaththi, Asha Sitati, Giulia Scarpa, Edmond Totin, Katy Davis, Nikita Charles Hamilton, Christine J. Kirchhoff, Praveen Kumar, Brian Pentz, Nicholas P. Simpson, Emily Theokritoff, Delphine Deryng, Diana Reckien, Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo, Nicola Ulibarri, Alcade C. Segnon, Vhalinavho Khavhagali, Yuanyuan Shang, Luckson Zvobgo, Zinta Zommers, Jiren Xu, Portia Adade Williams, Ivan Villaverde Canosa, Nicole van Maanen, Bianca van Bavel, Maarten van Aalst, Lynée L. Turek-Hankins, Shuaib Lwasa

^*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

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Abstract

Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

Original language	English
Pages (from-to)	989-1000
Number of pages	12
Journal	Nature Climate Change
Volume	11
Issue number	11
DOIs	https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y
Publication status	Published - Nov 2021
Externally published	Yes

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
We thank the following individuals for contributions to various stages of this initiative: C. Abbey, C. Alarconr, S. Arowolo, K. Christopher, R. Cremades, E. Cremin, K. Dave, S. Davis, D. Die, S. D’haen, S. Gruza, T. Harrison, D. Heinrich, F. I. Hoefsloot, M. Hothman, K. Hou, J. Kumar, R. Lama, A. Mahanti, C. McOmber, A. Mukjerji, N. Nnebe, M. North, C. Ofeogbu, H. Panchal, S. Pandey, A. Pasha, J. Pathak, P. Shrestha, D. Singini, A. Srinidhi, C. Thangata, V. Thimmaiah, A. Welles, K. Wroten, A. Yue and K. Zhu. We thank T. Leuchtefeld and the SysRev team for extensive technical and design support in partnering with this initiative. This work was supported by the following funding grants: Agence Française de Développement (A.K.M.), UK Government Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada (109419–001, N.P.S.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-10-LABX-14-01, A.K.M.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-15-CE03-0003, A.K.M.), Studienstiftung des Deutsches Volkes (P.N.S.), UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Doctoral Training Partnership (ES/P000622/1, project reference 2098296, T.L.), National Science Foundation, Directorate for Geosciences (no. 1935961, E.A.G.), Social Science and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) (756-2021-0037, E.K.G.), China Scholarship Council, Australian National University—Climate Change Institute Supplementary Scholarship (Y.S.), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (MICINN) (BIO-ARID PID2020-115770RB-I, J.S.), European Research Council (grant ERC-SyG-2013-610028, IMBALANCE-P, J. Petzold), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (MICINN) (ELEMENTALSHIFT PID2019-110521GB-100, J. Penuelas), UGC-JRF scholarship, University Grants Commission, Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India (3643/(SC)(NET-DEC. 2015, P.K.), National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) (using the UK’s Official Development Assistance (ODA) Funding) and Wellcome under the NIHR–Wellcome Partnership for Global Health Research (218743/Z/19/Z, C.Z.-C), The Gulf Research Program of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (G.W.P.), International Development Research Centre Canada (L.S.S.C.), Agricultural Experiment Station Hatch projects (CA-R-A-6689-H and CA-D-LAW-2352-H, R.R.H.), German Ministry for Education and Research—ARIADNE project and IPCC-AR6-III-2 project (03SFK5J0 and 01LG1910A, J.M.), German Ministry for Education and Research— ARIADNE project (03SFK5J0, M.W.C.), NSF-CNH2-LRUI-ROA Grant, Equitable and Resilience Urban Socio-ecological Systems (no. 245531, I.A.-R.) and Portland State University Vision 2025 Grant (I.A.-R.).

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

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A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate changeFinal published version, 2.42 MBLicence: Article 25fa Dutch Copyright Act

Cite this

GAMI, Berrang-Ford, L., Siders, A. R., Lesnikowski, A., Fischer, A. P., Callaghan, M. W., Haddaway, N. R., Mach, K. J., Araos, M., Shah, M. A. R., Wannewitz, M., Doshi, D., Leiter, T., Matavel, C., Musah-Surugu, J. I., Wong-Parodi, G., Antwi-Agyei, P., Ajibade, I., Chauhan, N., ... Lwasa, S. (2021). A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change. Nature Climate Change, 11(11), 989-1000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

@article{f95772029fcf4fdbafbc3291da2c92cf,

title = "A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change",

abstract = "Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.",

author = "GAMI and Lea Berrang-Ford and Siders, {A. R.} and Alexandra Lesnikowski and Fischer, {Alexandra Paige} and Callaghan, {Max W.} and Haddaway, {Neal R.} and Mach, {Katharine J.} and Malcolm Araos and Shah, {Mohammad Aminur Rahman} and Mia Wannewitz and Deepal Doshi and Timo Leiter and Custodio Matavel and Musah-Surugu, {Justice Issah} and Gabrielle Wong-Parodi and Philip Antwi-Agyei and Idowu Ajibade and Neha Chauhan and William Kakenmaster and Caitlin Grady and Chalastani, {Vasiliki I.} and Kripa Jagannathan and Galappaththi, {Eranga K.} and Asha Sitati and Giulia Scarpa and Edmond Totin and Katy Davis and Hamilton, {Nikita Charles} and Kirchhoff, {Christine J.} and Praveen Kumar and Brian Pentz and Simpson, {Nicholas P.} and Emily Theokritoff and Delphine Deryng and Diana Reckien and Carol Zavaleta-Cortijo and Nicola Ulibarri and Segnon, {Alcade C.} and Vhalinavho Khavhagali and Yuanyuan Shang and Luckson Zvobgo and Zinta Zommers and Jiren Xu and Williams, {Portia Adade} and Canosa, {Ivan Villaverde} and {van Maanen}, Nicole and {van Bavel}, Bianca and {van Aalst}, Maarten and Turek-Hankins, {Lyn{\'e}e L.} and Shuaib Lwasa",

note = "Funding Information: We thank the following individuals for contributions to various stages of this initiative: C. Abbey, C. Alarconr, S. Arowolo, K. Christopher, R. Cremades, E. Cremin, K. Dave, S. Davis, D. Die, S. D{\textquoteright}haen, S. Gruza, T. Harrison, D. Heinrich, F. I. Hoefsloot, M. Hothman, K. Hou, J. Kumar, R. Lama, A. Mahanti, C. McOmber, A. Mukjerji, N. Nnebe, M. North, C. Ofeogbu, H. Panchal, S. Pandey, A. Pasha, J. Pathak, P. Shrestha, D. Singini, A. Srinidhi, C. Thangata, V. Thimmaiah, A. Welles, K. Wroten, A. Yue and K. Zhu. We thank T. Leuchtefeld and the SysRev team for extensive technical and design support in partnering with this initiative. This work was supported by the following funding grants: Agence Fran{\c c}aise de D{\'e}veloppement (A.K.M.), UK Government Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada (109419–001, N.P.S.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-10-LABX-14-01, A.K.M.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-15-CE03-0003, A.K.M.), Studienstiftung des Deutsches Volkes (P.N.S.), UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Doctoral Training Partnership (ES/P000622/1, project reference 2098296, T.L.), National Science Foundation, Directorate for Geosciences (no. 1935961, E.A.G.), Social Science and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) (756-2021-0037, E.K.G.), China Scholarship Council, Australian National University—Climate Change Institute Supplementary Scholarship (Y.S.), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci{\'o}n y Universidades (MICINN) (BIO-ARID PID2020-115770RB-I, J.S.), European Research Council (grant ERC-SyG-2013-610028, IMBALANCE-P, J. Petzold), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovaci{\'o}n y Universidades (MICINN) (ELEMENTALSHIFT PID2019-110521GB-100, J. Penuelas), UGC-JRF scholarship, University Grants Commission, Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India (3643/(SC)(NET-DEC. 2015, P.K.), National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) (using the UK{\textquoteright}s Official Development Assistance (ODA) Funding) and Wellcome under the NIHR–Wellcome Partnership for Global Health Research (218743/Z/19/Z, C.Z.-C), The Gulf Research Program of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (G.W.P.), International Development Research Centre Canada (L.S.S.C.), Agricultural Experiment Station Hatch projects (CA-R-A-6689-H and CA-D-LAW-2352-H, R.R.H.), German Ministry for Education and Research—ARIADNE project and IPCC-AR6-III-2 project (03SFK5J0 and 01LG1910A, J.M.), German Ministry for Education and Research— ARIADNE project (03SFK5J0, M.W.C.), NSF-CNH2-LRUI-ROA Grant, Equitable and Resilience Urban Socio-ecological Systems (no. 245531, I.A.-R.) and Portland State University Vision 2025 Grant (I.A.-R.). Publisher Copyright: {\textcopyright} 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.",

year = "2021",

month = nov,

doi = "10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y",

language = "English",

volume = "11",

pages = "989--1000",

journal = "Nature Climate Change",

issn = "1758-678X",

publisher = "Nature Research",

number = "11",

}

GAMI, Berrang-Ford, L, Siders, AR, Lesnikowski, A, Fischer, AP, Callaghan, MW, Haddaway, NR, Mach, KJ, Araos, M, Shah, MAR, Wannewitz, M, Doshi, D, Leiter, T, Matavel, C, Musah-Surugu, JI, Wong-Parodi, G, Antwi-Agyei, P, Ajibade, I, Chauhan, N, Kakenmaster, W, Grady, C, Chalastani, VI, Jagannathan, K, Galappaththi, EK, Sitati, A, Scarpa, G, Totin, E, Davis, K, Hamilton, NC, Kirchhoff, CJ, Kumar, P, Pentz, B, Simpson, NP, Theokritoff, E, Deryng, D, Reckien, D, Zavaleta-Cortijo, C, Ulibarri, N, Segnon, AC, Khavhagali, V, Shang, Y, Zvobgo, L, Zommers, Z, Xu, J, Williams, PA, Canosa, IV, van Maanen, N, van Bavel, B, van Aalst, M, Turek-Hankins, LL & Lwasa, S 2021, 'A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change', Nature Climate Change, vol. 11, no. 11, pp. 989-1000. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

TY - JOUR

T1 - A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

AU - GAMI

AU - Berrang-Ford, Lea

AU - Siders, A. R.

AU - Lesnikowski, Alexandra

AU - Fischer, Alexandra Paige

AU - Callaghan, Max W.

AU - Haddaway, Neal R.

AU - Mach, Katharine J.

AU - Araos, Malcolm

AU - Shah, Mohammad Aminur Rahman

AU - Wannewitz, Mia

AU - Doshi, Deepal

AU - Leiter, Timo

AU - Matavel, Custodio

AU - Musah-Surugu, Justice Issah

AU - Wong-Parodi, Gabrielle

AU - Antwi-Agyei, Philip

AU - Ajibade, Idowu

AU - Chauhan, Neha

AU - Kakenmaster, William

AU - Grady, Caitlin

AU - Chalastani, Vasiliki I.

AU - Jagannathan, Kripa

AU - Galappaththi, Eranga K.

AU - Sitati, Asha

AU - Scarpa, Giulia

AU - Totin, Edmond

AU - Davis, Katy

AU - Hamilton, Nikita Charles

AU - Kirchhoff, Christine J.

AU - Kumar, Praveen

AU - Pentz, Brian

AU - Simpson, Nicholas P.

AU - Theokritoff, Emily

AU - Deryng, Delphine

AU - Reckien, Diana

AU - Zavaleta-Cortijo, Carol

AU - Ulibarri, Nicola

AU - Segnon, Alcade C.

AU - Khavhagali, Vhalinavho

AU - Shang, Yuanyuan

AU - Zvobgo, Luckson

AU - Zommers, Zinta

AU - Xu, Jiren

AU - Williams, Portia Adade

AU - Canosa, Ivan Villaverde

AU - van Maanen, Nicole

AU - van Bavel, Bianca

AU - van Aalst, Maarten

AU - Turek-Hankins, Lynée L.

AU - Lwasa, Shuaib

N1 - Funding Information: We thank the following individuals for contributions to various stages of this initiative: C. Abbey, C. Alarconr, S. Arowolo, K. Christopher, R. Cremades, E. Cremin, K. Dave, S. Davis, D. Die, S. D’haen, S. Gruza, T. Harrison, D. Heinrich, F. I. Hoefsloot, M. Hothman, K. Hou, J. Kumar, R. Lama, A. Mahanti, C. McOmber, A. Mukjerji, N. Nnebe, M. North, C. Ofeogbu, H. Panchal, S. Pandey, A. Pasha, J. Pathak, P. Shrestha, D. Singini, A. Srinidhi, C. Thangata, V. Thimmaiah, A. Welles, K. Wroten, A. Yue and K. Zhu. We thank T. Leuchtefeld and the SysRev team for extensive technical and design support in partnering with this initiative. This work was supported by the following funding grants: Agence Française de Développement (A.K.M.), UK Government Foreign, Commonwealth & Development Office and the International Development Research Centre, Ottawa, Canada (109419–001, N.P.S.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-10-LABX-14-01, A.K.M.), Agence Nationale pour la Recherche (French National Research Agency, ANR-15-CE03-0003, A.K.M.), Studienstiftung des Deutsches Volkes (P.N.S.), UK Economic and Social Research Council (ESRC) Doctoral Training Partnership (ES/P000622/1, project reference 2098296, T.L.), National Science Foundation, Directorate for Geosciences (no. 1935961, E.A.G.), Social Science and Humanities Research Council (SSHRC) (756-2021-0037, E.K.G.), China Scholarship Council, Australian National University—Climate Change Institute Supplementary Scholarship (Y.S.), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (MICINN) (BIO-ARID PID2020-115770RB-I, J.S.), European Research Council (grant ERC-SyG-2013-610028, IMBALANCE-P, J. Petzold), Ministerio de Ciencia, Innovación y Universidades (MICINN) (ELEMENTALSHIFT PID2019-110521GB-100, J. Penuelas), UGC-JRF scholarship, University Grants Commission, Ministry of Human Resource Development, Government of India (3643/(SC)(NET-DEC. 2015, P.K.), National Institute for Health Research (NIHR) (using the UK’s Official Development Assistance (ODA) Funding) and Wellcome under the NIHR–Wellcome Partnership for Global Health Research (218743/Z/19/Z, C.Z.-C), The Gulf Research Program of the National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine (G.W.P.), International Development Research Centre Canada (L.S.S.C.), Agricultural Experiment Station Hatch projects (CA-R-A-6689-H and CA-D-LAW-2352-H, R.R.H.), German Ministry for Education and Research—ARIADNE project and IPCC-AR6-III-2 project (03SFK5J0 and 01LG1910A, J.M.), German Ministry for Education and Research— ARIADNE project (03SFK5J0, M.W.C.), NSF-CNH2-LRUI-ROA Grant, Equitable and Resilience Urban Socio-ecological Systems (no. 245531, I.A.-R.) and Portland State University Vision 2025 Grant (I.A.-R.). Publisher Copyright: © 2021, The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Nature Limited.

PY - 2021/11

Y1 - 2021/11

N2 - Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

AB - Assessing global progress on human adaptation to climate change is an urgent priority. Although the literature on adaptation to climate change is rapidly expanding, little is known about the actual extent of implementation. We systematically screened >48,000 articles using machine learning methods and a global network of 126 researchers. Our synthesis of the resulting 1,682 articles presents a systematic and comprehensive global stocktake of implemented human adaptation to climate change. Documented adaptations were largely fragmented, local and incremental, with limited evidence of transformational adaptation and negligible evidence of risk reduction outcomes. We identify eight priorities for global adaptation research: assess the effectiveness of adaptation responses, enhance the understanding of limits to adaptation, enable individuals and civil society to adapt, include missing places, scholars and scholarship, understand private sector responses, improve methods for synthesizing different forms of evidence, assess the adaptation at different temperature thresholds, and improve the inclusion of timescale and the dynamics of responses.

UR - http://www.scopus.com/inward/record.url?scp=85118175179&partnerID=8YFLogxK

U2 - 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

DO - 10.1038/s41558-021-01170-y

M3 - Article

AN - SCOPUS:85118175179

SN - 1758-678X

VL - 11

SP - 989

EP - 1000

JO - Nature Climate Change

JF - Nature Climate Change

IS - 11

ER -

A systematic global stocktake of evidence on human adaptation to climate change

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