TY - JOUR
T1 - Anti-Mullerian Hormone Predicts Menopause: A Long-Term Follow-Up Study in Normoovulatory Women
AU - Broer, SL
AU - Eijkemans, Rene
AU - Scheffer, GJ
AU - van Rooij, IAJ
AU - de Vet, A (Annemarie)
AU - Themmen, Axel
AU - Laven, Joop
AU - Jong, Frank
AU - Velde, ERT
AU - Fauser, BC
AU - Broekmans, FJM
PY - 2011
Y1 - 2011
N2 - Context: It has been hypothesized that a fixed interval exists between age at natural sterility and age at menopause. Both events show considerable individual variability, with a range of 20 yr. Correct prediction of age at menopause could open avenues of individualized prevention of age-related infertility and other menopause-related conditions, like cardiovascular disease and breast carcinoma. Objective: The aim of this study was to explore the ability of ovarian reserve tests to predict age at menopause. Design and Setting: We conducted a long-term follow-up study at an academic hospital. Participants: A total of 257 normoovulatory women (age, 21-46 yr) were derived from three cohorts with highly comparable selection criteria. Interventions: Anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), antral follicle count, and FSH were assessed at time 1 (T1). At time 2 (T2), approximately 11 yr later, cycle status (strictly regular, menopausal transition, or postmenopause) and age at menopause were inventoried. Main Outcome Measures: Accuracy of the ovarian reserve tests in predicting time to menopause was assessed by Cox regression, and a nomogram was constructed for the relationship between age-specific AMH concentrations at T1 and age at menopause. Results: A total of 48 (19%) women had reached postmenopause at T2. Age, AMH, and antral follicle count at T1 were significantly related with time to menopause (P < 0.001) and showed a good percentage of correct predictions (C-statistic, 0.87, 0.86, and 0.84, respectively). After adjusting for age, only AMH added to this prediction (C-statistic, 0.90). From the constructed nomogram, it appeared that the normal distribution of age at menopause will shift considerably, depending on the individual Conclusions: AMH is highly predictive for timing of menopause. Using age and AMH, the age range in which menopause will subsequently occur can be individually calculated. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab 96: 2532-2539, 2011)
AB - Context: It has been hypothesized that a fixed interval exists between age at natural sterility and age at menopause. Both events show considerable individual variability, with a range of 20 yr. Correct prediction of age at menopause could open avenues of individualized prevention of age-related infertility and other menopause-related conditions, like cardiovascular disease and breast carcinoma. Objective: The aim of this study was to explore the ability of ovarian reserve tests to predict age at menopause. Design and Setting: We conducted a long-term follow-up study at an academic hospital. Participants: A total of 257 normoovulatory women (age, 21-46 yr) were derived from three cohorts with highly comparable selection criteria. Interventions: Anti-Mullerian hormone (AMH), antral follicle count, and FSH were assessed at time 1 (T1). At time 2 (T2), approximately 11 yr later, cycle status (strictly regular, menopausal transition, or postmenopause) and age at menopause were inventoried. Main Outcome Measures: Accuracy of the ovarian reserve tests in predicting time to menopause was assessed by Cox regression, and a nomogram was constructed for the relationship between age-specific AMH concentrations at T1 and age at menopause. Results: A total of 48 (19%) women had reached postmenopause at T2. Age, AMH, and antral follicle count at T1 were significantly related with time to menopause (P < 0.001) and showed a good percentage of correct predictions (C-statistic, 0.87, 0.86, and 0.84, respectively). After adjusting for age, only AMH added to this prediction (C-statistic, 0.90). From the constructed nomogram, it appeared that the normal distribution of age at menopause will shift considerably, depending on the individual Conclusions: AMH is highly predictive for timing of menopause. Using age and AMH, the age range in which menopause will subsequently occur can be individually calculated. (J Clin Endocrinol Metab 96: 2532-2539, 2011)
M3 - Article
SN - 0021-972X
VL - 96
SP - 2532
EP - 2539
JO - Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism
JF - Journal of Clinical Endocrinology and Metabolism
IS - 8
ER -
