Case-mix adjustment for between-hospital comparisons in oesophageal and gastric cancer surgery

Margrietha van der Linde*, Maurits R. Visser, Frank Eijkenaar, Martijn A.H. Oude Voshaar, Richard van Hillegersberg, Johanna W. van Sandick, Mark I. van Berge Henegouwen, Bas P.L. Wijnhoven, Hester F. Lingsma, Dutch Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Audit (DUCA)

*Corresponding author for this work

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Abstract

Background: Clinical and pathological outcomes of oesophagogastric cancer surgery are used for benchmarking hospital performance. The extent to which case-mix adjustment is required for valid hospital comparisons is unknown. This study aimed to develop distinct case-mix adjustment models for multiple outcomes of oesophageal and gastric cancer surgery, and to assess the impact of case-mix adjustment on between-hospital comparisons. Methods: We included all patients who underwent oesophagogastric cancer resections in the Netherlands between 2017 and 2022. We developed distinct case-mix adjustment models for ten outcomes. Model performance was evaluated with the area-under-the-receiving-operator-curve (AUC) and pseudo-R-squared, representing how strongly case-mix factors predict the outcomes. We used the Wald χ2 test to assess relative predictor importance per model. The impact of case-mix adjustment on between-hospital comparisons on outcome was quantified using unadjusted and adjusted observed/expected ratios. Results: In total, 4354 oesophageal cancer patients and 2109 gastric cancer patients were included. The most informative predictors in the models for oesophageal cancer were ASA-score, salvage surgery, peripheral vascular disease/aortic aneurysm, chronic lung disease, and tumour histology. For gastric cancer these were age, preoperative weight loss, tumour location, and clinical M-category. All case-mix models showed low to moderate performance, with AUCs ranging between 0.58 and 0.73 and between 0.58 and 0.74 for oesophageal and gastric cancer, respectively. Overall, case-mix adjustment had a limited impact on between-hospital comparisons, but more pronounced for 30-day mortality, failure-to-cure and failure-to-rescue. Conclusion: Given low to moderate model performance and the limited impact on between-hospital comparisons, case-mix adjustment may not always be necessary for valid benchmarking on outcomes in oesophagogastric cancer surgery.

Original languageEnglish
Article number109644
JournalEuropean Journal of Surgical Oncology
Volume51
Issue number6
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2025

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