Comparative analysis of different risk prediction tools after mitral Transcatheter edge-to-edge repair

Mauricio Felippi de Sá Marchi, Mark van den Dorpel, Pedro Calomeni, Sraman Chatterjee, Rik Adrichem, Sarah Verhemel, Antoon J.M. Van Den Enden, Joost Daemen, Isabella Kardys, Henrique Barbosa Ribeiro, Nicolas M. Van Mieghem*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

3 Citations (Scopus)
19 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Background: 

Transcatheter edge-to-edge repair (TEER) has become an established treatment for primary and secondary mitral regurgitation (PMR and SMR). The objective of this study was to compare the accuracy of different risk scores for predicting 1-year mortality and the composite endpoint of 1-year mortality and/or heart failure (HF) hospitalization after TEER. 

Methods: 

We analyzed data from 206 patients treated for MR at a tertiary European center between 2011 and 2023 and compared the accuracy of different mitral and surgical risk scores: EuroSCORE II, GRASP, MITRALITY, MitraScore, TAPSE/PASP-MitraScore, and STS for predicting 1-year mortality and the composite of 1-year mortality and/or HF hospitalization in PMR and SMR. A subanalysis of SMR-only patients with the addition of COAPT Risk Score and baseline N-Terminal pro-Brain Natriuretic Peptide (NT-proBNP) list was also performed. 

Results: 

MITRALITY had the best discriminative ability for 1-year mortality and the composite endpoint of 1-year mortality and/or HF hospitalization, with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.74 and 0.74, respectively, in a composed group of PMR and SMR. In a SMR-only population, MITRALITY also presented the best AUC for 1-year mortality and the composite endpoint of 1-year mortality and/or HF hospitalization, with values of 0.72 and 0.72, respectively. 

Conclusion: 

MITRALITY was the best mitral TEER risk model for both 1-year mortality and the composite endpoint of 1-year mortality and/or HF hospitalization in a population of PMR and SMR patients, as well as in SMR patients only. Surgical risk scores, MitraScore, TAPSE/PASP-MitraScore and NT-proBNP alone showed poor predictive values.

Original languageEnglish
Article number131768
JournalInternational Journal of Cardiology
Volume400
Early online date10 Jan 2024
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Apr 2024

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2024

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