Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches

Jakub Cerven?; Jan van Ours; Martin van Tuijl

Effects of a Red Card on Goal-Scoring in World Cup Football Matches

Jakub Cerven?, Jan van Ours, Martin van Tuijl

Applied Economics

Research output: Contribution to conference › Paper › Academic

Abstract

We examine the effect of the sending-o of a player on the goal-scoring rates
in FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

Original language	Undefined/Unknown
Publication status	Published - 22 Aug 2016

Cite this

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abstract = "We examine the effect of the sending-o of a player on the goal-scoring ratesin FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.",

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N2 - We examine the effect of the sending-o of a player on the goal-scoring ratesin FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

AB - We examine the effect of the sending-o of a player on the goal-scoring ratesin FIFA World Cup matches in tournaments from 1998 to 2014. We use a hazard rate framework in which the effect of a red card is modeled as a shift in the goal-scoring rate. A red card may harm the team that receives a red card and may be beneficial for their opponent. Indeed, we find that the goal-scoring rate of the sanctioned team goes down, while the goal-scoring rate of the non-sanctioned team goes up.

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