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Evaluation of the Khorana, PROTECHT, and 5-SNP scores for prediction of venous thromboembolism in patients with cancer

  • Noori A.M. Guman*
  • , Roos J. van Geffen
  • , Frits I. Mulder
  • , Thijs F. van Haaps
  • , Vahram Hovsepjan
  • , Mariette Labots
  • , Geert A. Cirkel
  • , Filip Y. F. L. de Vos
  • , Albert J. ten Tije
  • , Laurens V. Beerepoot
  • , Vivianne C.G. Tjan-Heijnen
  • , Hanneke W.M. van Laarhoven
  • , Paul Hamberg
  • , Annelie J.E. Vulink
  • , Maartje Los
  • , Aeilko H. Zwinderman
  • , Bart Ferwerda
  • , Martijn P.J.K. Lolkema
  • , Neeltje Steeghs
  • , Harry R. Büller
  • Pieter W. Kamphuisen, Nick van Es
*Corresponding author for this work
  • Amsterdam UMC
  • Tergooi Ziekenhuis
  • Meander Medical Center
  • University Medical Centre Utrecht
  • Amphia Hospital
  • ETZ Elisabeth
  • Maastricht University Medical Centre
  • Reinier de Graaf Groep
  • St. Antonius Ziekenhuis
  • Netherlands Cancer Institute
  • University of Amsterdam
  • Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

27 Citations (Scopus)
128 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

Background: The Khorana score is a validated tool to identify cancer patients at higher risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objective: We compared its predictive performance to that of the clinical PROTECHT and the polygenic 5-SNP scores in patients who participated in the Dutch CPCT-02 study. Patients/methods: Data on VTE and its risk factors were retrospectively collected for 2729 patients with advanced stage solid tumors planned for systemic cancer treatment. Patients were followed for 6 months. Overall discriminatory performance of the scores was evaluated by time-dependent c-indices. The scores were additionally evaluated dichotomously in competing risk models. Results: A total of 160 (5.9%) patients developed VTE during follow-up. Time-dependent c-indices at 6 months for the Khorana, PROTECHT, and 5-SNP scores were 0.57 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.55–0.60), 0.60 (95% CI: 0.57–0.62), and 0.54 (95% CI: 0.51–0.57), respectively. The dichotomous scores classified 9.6%, 16.8%, and 9.5% as high-risk, respectively. VTE risk was about 2-fold higher among high-risk patients than low-risk patients for the Khorana (subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.9, 95% CI: 1.3–3.0), PROTECHT (SHR 2.1, 95% CI: 1.5–3.0), and 5-SNP scores (SHR 1.7, 95% CI: 1.03–2.8). The sensitivity at 6 months was 16.6% (95% CI: 10.5–22.7), 28.9% (95% CI: 21.5–36.3), and 14.9% (95% CI: 8.5-21.2), respectively. Conclusions: Performance of the PROTECHT or 5-SNP score was not superior to that of the Khorana score. The majority of cancer patients who developed VTE during 6-month follow-up were not identified by these scores. Future directions for studies on cancer-associated VTE prediction may include combined clinical-genetic scores.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)2974-2983
Number of pages10
JournalJournal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis
Volume19
Issue number12
Early online date19 Aug 2021
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Dec 2021

Bibliographical note

Funding Information:
N.A.M. Guman, R.J. van Geffen, F.I. Mulder, T.F. van Haaps, V. Hovsepjan, G.A. Cirkel, A.J. ten Tije, L.V. Beerepoot, V.C.G. Tjan‐Heijnen, A.J.E. Vulink, M. Los, A.H. Zwinderman, B. Ferwerda, and N. Steeghs have no conflicts of interest to declare. M. Labots reports consulting fees from BMS, which were transferred to her institution. F.Y.F.L. de Vos reports a research grant from the Foundation STOPbraintumors.org and financial research support from AbbVie, BMS, Novartis, EORTC, Vaximm, BioClin Therapeutics. He participated on a Data Safety Monitoring Board in a clinical trial on chloroquinine in glioblastoma treatment at the Maastricht University Medical Center and is a faculty member of the ESMO CNS tumors, the Quality of Care commission Dutch Society of Medical Oncology, and the Quality Assurance commission EORTC. H.M.W. van Laarhoven has received research funding from BMS, Lilly, MSD, Nordic Pharma, Servier, and Bayer. She participated on Data Safety Monitoring Boards for BMS, Lilly, MSD, Nordic Pharma, and Servier, and received consulting fees from these parties. P. Hamberg reports consulting fees from Astellas, MSD, Pfizer AstraZeneca, BMS, Ipsen. M.P.J.K. Lolkema reports grants from JnJ, Astellas, MSD, and Sanofi; consulting fees from Roche, Bayer, Amgen, JnJ, Sanofi, Servier, Pfizer, Incyte, and Novartis; and support for attending meetings and/or travel from MSD, Sanofi, and Servier. H.R. Büller reports personal fees from Daiichi Sankyo, Bayer Healthcare, BMS/Pfizer, Boehringer Ingelheim, Portola, Medscape, Eli Lilly, Sanofi Aventis, and Ionis. P.W. Kamphuisen has received research grants from Daiichi Sankyo and Roche Diagnostics and the Tergooi Academy. N. van Es reports advisory board honoraria from Daiichi‐Sankyo, Bayer, and LEO Pharma, which were transferred to his institute.

Funding Information:
The present study was supported by a research grant from the Tergooi Academy. This publication and the underlying study have been made possible partially based on data that Hartwig Medical Foundation and the Center of Personalized Cancer Treatment (CPCT) have made available to the study. We would like to thank research nurses and principal investigators from all participating hospitals (Amsterdam University Medical Center, Erasmus Medical Center, Meander Medical Center, Elisabeth TweeSteden Hospital, Amphia Hospital, Netherlands Cancer Institute ? Antoni van Leeuwenhoek, Franciscus Gasthuis & Vlietland, Maastricht University Medical Center, St. Antonius Hospital, University Medical Center Utrecht, and Reinier de Graaf Hospital), and the medical students (S.B. Lohle, E. Liefting, F. Rotteveel, and I. Souwer) who contributed to the retrospective data collection for this study.

Funding Information:
The present study was supported by a research grant from the Tergooi Academy.

Publisher Copyright:
© 2021 The Authors. Journal of Thrombosis and Haemostasis published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of International Society on Thrombosis and Haemostasis.

UN SDGs

This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)

  1. SDG 3 - Good Health and Well-being
    SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being

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