Global epidemiology of actinic keratosis in the general population: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Background: 

Actinic keratosis (AK) is a common dermatological condition, and among the most common dermatological diagnoses in older populations. Although the prevalence of AK depends on demographic and environmental factors, little is known about the global context of AK. Objectives: To provide a comprehensive and updated analysis of the global prevalence rate and incidence of AK in the general population through a systematic review and meta-analysis, and - through subgroup analyses - to identify high-risk phenotypes, demographic and lifestyle risk factors and regional variations in disease prevalence. 

Methods: 

A systematic search of Embase, MEDLINE, Web of Science and Google Scholar was performed on 20 May 2022. Two reviewers independently screened and assessed the quality of each study using a validated critical appraisal checklist. Epidemiological measurements (e.g. prevalence) from individual studies performed in the general population were then pooled in a random-effects meta-analysis. Subgroup analyses (i.e. population age, geographical region, occupation, sex and study quality) were conducted. 

Results: 

Of the 65 articles that made it through the full-text screening, 60 reported a point prevalence. A meta-analysis of these articles yielded an overall point prevalence of 14% [95% confidence interval (CI) 14-15]. In further analyses, the calculated prevalence rate varied depending on subgroup. The pooled incidence rate from the seven eligible studies analysed was 1928 per 100 000 person-years (PY; 95% CI -439 to 4294). 

Conclusions: 

This comprehensive meta-analysis provides an updated global prevalence rate of AK of 14%, indicating a significant worldwide disease burden. The incidence rate of AK was found to be 1928 per 100 000 PY, emphasizing a growing public health concern. However, high heterogeneity among studies suggests that various factors influence the AK prevalence rate, necessitating further research to understand the observed differences.