Heart failure and inflammation-related biomarkers as predictors of new-onset diabetes in the general population

Navin Suthahar, Wouter C. Meijers, Frank P. Brouwers, Hiddo J.L. Heerspink, Ron T. Gansevoort, Pim van der Harst, Stephan J.L. Bakker, Rudolf A. de Boer*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Contribution to journalArticleAcademicpeer-review

17 Citations (Scopus)
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Abstract

Background:

There is a strong reciprocal relationship between heart failure (HF) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Shared pathophysiological mechanisms might be a possible explanation. Therefore, we hypothesised that biomarkers linked to HF would also predict new-onset type 2 DM in the general population. 

Methods and results: 

We utilized the Prevention of Vascular and Renal End-stage Disease (PREVEND) cohort (mean age 48.9 years, 51% female) to study the relationship between HF and DM in 7953 participants free of baseline HF and DM. Multiple HF-related, inflammation-related and renal function-related biomarkers were evaluated regarding their predictive utility in new-onset DM. Incidence of DM in participants who developed HF was 11.8%, versus 5.4% in those who had not developed HF (p < 0.001). Incidence of HF in participants who developed DM was 8.5%, versus 3.8% in those who had not developed DM (p < 0.001). Classical HF biomarkers, NT-proBNP and hs-TnT were not associated with an increased risk for new-onset DM. However, inflammatory biomarkers hs-CRP [hazard ratio (HR) 1.16, (95% CI 1.05 to 1.29), p = 0.005], procalcitonin [HR 1.34, (95% CI 1.07 to 1.69), p = 0.012] and PAI-1 [HR 1.55, (95% CI 1.37 to 1.75), p < 0.001] remained significantly associated with new-onset DM, even after multivariable adjustment for established predictors of DM. 

Conclusions: 

Although HF and DM have a strong correlation with each other, systemic biomarkers that predict HF do not have a predictive value in new-onset DM. This suggests that other, indirect, pathophysiological mechanisms related to inflammation may explain their strong relation.

Original languageEnglish
Pages (from-to)188-194
Number of pages7
JournalInternational Journal of Cardiology
Volume250
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - 1 Jan 2018
Externally publishedYes

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2017 Elsevier B.V.

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