Abstract
BACKGROUND: HIV cohort collaborations, which pool data from diverse patient cohorts, have provided key insights into outcomes of antiretroviral therapy (ART). However, the extent of, and reasons for, between-cohort heterogeneity in rates of AIDS and mortality are unclear.
METHODS: We obtained data on adult HIV-positive patients who started ART from 1998 without a previous AIDS diagnosis from 17 cohorts in North America and Europe. Patients were followed up from 1 month to 2 years after starting ART. We examined between-cohort heterogeneity in crude and adjusted (age, sex, HIV transmission risk, year, CD4 count and HIV-1 RNA at start of ART) rates of AIDS and mortality using random-effects meta-analysis and meta-regression.
RESULTS: During 61 520 person-years, 754/38 706 (1.9%) patients died and 1890 (4.9%) progressed to AIDS. Between-cohort variance in mortality rates was reduced from 0.84 to 0.24 (0.73 to 0.28 for AIDS rates) after adjustment for patient characteristics. Adjusted mortality rates were inversely associated with cohorts' estimated completeness of death ascertainment [excellent: 96-100%, good: 90-95%, average: 75-89%; mortality rate ratio 0.66 (95% confidence interval 0.46-0.94) per category]. Mortality rate ratios comparing Europe with North America were 0.42 (0.31-0.57) before and 0.47 (0.30-0.73) after adjusting for completeness of ascertainment.
CONCLUSIONS: Heterogeneity between settings in outcomes of HIV treatment has implications for collaborative analyses, policy and clinical care. Estimated mortality rates may require adjustment for completeness of ascertainment. Higher mortality rate in North American, compared with European, cohorts was not fully explained by completeness of ascertainment and may be because of the inclusion of more socially marginalized patients with higher mortality risk.
| Original language | English |
|---|---|
| Pages (from-to) | 1807-20 |
| Number of pages | 14 |
| Journal | International Journal of Epidemiology |
| Volume | 41 |
| Issue number | 6 |
| DOIs | |
| Publication status | Published - Dec 2012 |
| Externally published | Yes |
Bibliographical note
Funding:M.M. and S.I. were funded by UK Medical Research
Council (grants G0700820 and MR/J002380/1).
Further funding of contributing cohorts was provided
by the Agence Nationale de Recherche contre le SIDA
(ANRS), the Institut National de la Sante´ et de la
Recherche Me´dicale (INSERM), the French, Italian
and Spanish Ministries of Health, the Swiss
National Science Foundation (grant 33CS30_
134277), the Stichting HIV Monitoring, the
European Commission (EuroCoord grant 260694),
the British Columbia and Alberta Governments, the
National Institutes of Health (NIH), UW CFAR (NIH
grant P30 AI027757) USA, the Michael Smith
Foundation for Health Research, the Canadian
Institutes of Health Research, the VHA Office of
Research and Development and unrestricted grants
from GlaxoSmithKline, Pfizer, Bristol Myers Squibb,
Roche and Boehringer-Ingelheim, the UW CFAR (NIH
grant P30 AI027757) and the Spanish Network for
AIDS Research (RIS; ISCIII-RETIC RD06/006).
UN SDGs
This output contributes to the following UN Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs)
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SDG 3 Good Health and Well-being
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