TY - JOUR
T1 - Improving judgmental adjustment of model-based forecast
AU - Franses, Philip Hans
PY - 2013
Y1 - 2013
N2 - Many managers have access to statistical model-based forecasts and can use these to create their own forecasts. To the analyst, who aims to evaluate forecast accuracy, it is usually unknown to what extent managers use those model forecasts. Moreover, in other situations the analyst may additionally not even have access to those model-based forecasts. The present survey reports on recent developments within this context which concern an understanding of the creation of such managers' forecasts given that model forecasts are potentially incorporated and the evaluation of their accuracy. A variety of further research topics are given.
AB - Many managers have access to statistical model-based forecasts and can use these to create their own forecasts. To the analyst, who aims to evaluate forecast accuracy, it is usually unknown to what extent managers use those model forecasts. Moreover, in other situations the analyst may additionally not even have access to those model-based forecasts. The present survey reports on recent developments within this context which concern an understanding of the creation of such managers' forecasts given that model forecasts are potentially incorporated and the evaluation of their accuracy. A variety of further research topics are given.
UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.matcom.2012.11.007
U2 - 10.1016/j.matcom.2012.11.007
DO - 10.1016/j.matcom.2012.11.007
M3 - Article
SN - 0378-4754
VL - 93
SP - 1
EP - 8
JO - Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
JF - Mathematics and Computers in Simulation
ER -