Abstract
We study the relationship between order flow and volatility. To this end we develop a comprehensive framework that simultaneously controls for the effects of macro announcements and order flow on prices and the effect of macro announcements on volatility. Using high-frequency 30-year U.S. Treasury bond futures data, we find a statistically and economically significant relationship between the absolute value of order flow and volatility. Moreover, this relationship is robust, inter alia, to a number of factors including the introduction of liquidity effects, use of data measured over a different frequency, and market conditions.
Original language | English |
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Pages (from-to) | 185-201 |
Number of pages | 17 |
Journal | Journal of Empirical Finance |
Volume | 28 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - 2014 |
Research programs
- EUR ESE 31
- EUR ESE 33