Abstract
Cardiovascular disease (CVD) often goes unrecognized, despite symptoms frequently being present. Proactive screening for symptoms might improve early recognition and prevent disease progression or acute cardiovascular events. We studied the diagnostic value of symptoms for the detection of unrecognized atrial fibrillation (AF), heart failure (HF), and coronary artery disease (CAD) and developed a corresponding screening questionnaire. We included 100,311 participants (mean age 52 ± 9 years, 58% women) from the population-based Lifelines Cohort Study. For each outcome (unrecognized AF/HF/CAD), we built a multivariable model containing demographics and symptoms. These models were combined into one ‘three-disease’ diagnostic model and questionnaire for all three outcomes. Results were validated in Lifelines participants with chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) and diabetes mellitus (DM). Unrecognized CVD was identified in 1325 participants (1.3%): AF in 131 (0.1%), HF in 599 (0.6%), and CAD in 687 (0.7%). Added to age, sex, and body mass index, palpitations were independent predictors for unrecognized AF; palpitations, chest pain, dyspnea, exercise intolerance, health-related stress, and self-expected health worsening for unrecognized HF; smoking, chest pain, exercise intolerance, and claudication for unrecognized CAD. Area under the curve for the combined diagnostic model was 0.752 (95% CI 0.737–0.766) in the total population and 0.757 (95% CI 0.734–0.781) in participants with COPD and DM. At the chosen threshold, the questionnaire had low specificity, but high sensitivity. In conclusion, a short questionnaire about demographics and symptoms can improve early detection of CVD and help pre-select people who should or should not undergo further screening for CVD.
Original language | English |
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Article number | 106143 |
Journal | Preventive Medicine |
Volume | 138 |
DOIs | |
Publication status | Published - Sept 2020 |
Externally published | Yes |
Bibliographical note
Funding Information:For the current manuscript, the authors declare no potential conflicts of interest. Outside of the submitted work, the authors disclose the following financial support: FHR reports unrestricted institutional grants from Boehringer Ingelheim, Bayer, Bristol-Myers Squibb-Pfizer, and Daiichi Sankyo. RAdB reports grants from the Dutch Heart Foundation [CVON DOSIS, grant 2014-40; CVON SHE-PREDICTS-HF, grant 2017-21; and CVON PREDICT2, grant 2018-30] and the European Research Council [SECRETE-HF, ERC-COG 818715]. The UMCG, which employs RAdB, has received research grants and/or fees from AstraZeneca, Abbott, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, and Roche. RAdB reports speaker fees from Abbott, AstraZeneca, Novartis, and Roche.This work was supported by the Dutch Heart Foundation [CVON RED-CVD, grant 2017-11]. The sponsor played no role in the study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication.
Funding Information:
For the current manuscript, the authors declare no potential conflicts of interest. Outside of the submitted work, the authors disclose the following financial support: FHR reports unrestricted institutional grants from Boehringer Ingelheim , Bayer , Bristol-Myers Squibb-Pfizer , and Daiichi Sankyo . RAdB reports grants from the Dutch Heart Foundation [CVON DOSIS, grant 2014-40 ; CVON SHE-PREDICTS-HF, grant 2017-21 ; and CVON PREDICT2, grant 2018-30 ] and the European Research Council [SECRETE-HF, ERC-COG 818715 ]. The UMCG, which employs RAdB, has received research grants and/or fees from AstraZeneca, Abbott, Bristol-Myers Squibb, Novartis, Novo Nordisk, and Roche. RAdB reports speaker fees from Abbott, AstraZeneca, Novartis, and Roche.
Funding Information:
This work was supported by the Dutch Heart Foundation [CVON RED-CVD, grant 2017-11 ]. The sponsor played no role in the study design, data collection, data analysis, data interpretation, writing of the report, or decision to submit the article for publication.
Publisher Copyright:
© 2020 The Author(s)