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Protocol for an international multicenter, prospective, observational, non-competitive, study to validate and optimise prediction models of 90-day and 1-year allograft failure after liver transplantation: The global IMPROVEMENT Study

  • Alfonso W. Avolio*
  • , Gabriele Spoletini
  • , Umberto Cillo
  • , the global IMPROVEMENT study Group
  • , Kristopher Croome
  • , Gabriel Oniscu
  • , Patrizia Burra
  • , Martin De Santibanes
  • , Hiroto Egawa
  • , Mikel Gastaca
  • , Zhiyong Guo
  • , Quirino Lai
  • , Paulo N. Martins
  • , Wojciech G. Polak
  • , Cristiano Quintini
  • , Mohamed Rela
  • , Gonzalo Sapisochin
  • , Julio Wiederkehr
  • , Riccardo Pravisani
  • , Deniz Balci
  • Ian Leipnitz, Ilka Boin, Felix Braun, Lucio Caccamo, Stefania Camagni, Amedeo Carraro, Matteo Cescon, Zhishui Chen, Olga Ciccarelli, Luciano De Carlis, Deng Feiwen, Fabrizio Di Benedetto, Burcin Ekser, Giuseppe Maria Ettorre, Marta Garcia-Guix, Davide Ghinolfi, Michal Grat, Salvatore Gruttadauria, John Hammond, Zemin Hu, Sunhawit Junrungsee, Michael Lesurtel, Jean Yves Mabrut, Daniel Maluf, Vincenzo Mazzaferro, Gilberto Mejia, Artem Monakhov, Bunthoon Noonthasoot, Silvio Nadalin, Brian M. Nguyen, Marco Maria Pascale
*Corresponding author for this work
  • Catholic University of the Sacred Heart
  • University of Padua
  • Mayo Clinic Rochester, MN
  • Karolinska Institutet
  • Hospital Italiano de Buenos Aires
  • Tokyo Women's Medical University
  • Hospital Universitario Cruces
  • Sun Yat-Sen University
  • University Hospital Sapienza Rome
  • University of Massachusetts System
  • Cleveland Clinic Foundation
  • Bharath Institute of Higher Education and Research
  • University of Toronto
  • Liver Transplant Div
  • Liver & Kidney Transplant Unit
  • Ankara University
  • The University of Auckland
  • Universidade Estadual de Campinas
  • Kiel University
  • Liver Transplant & Gen Surg Unit
  • Papa Giovanni XXIII Hospital
  • University of Verona
  • University of Bologna
  • Huazhong University of Science and Technology
  • Starzl Unit Abdominal Transplantat
  • University of Milan - Bicocca
  • IRCCS Fondazione Ca'Granda – Ospedale Maggiore Policlinico - Milano
  • Foshan First People’s Hospital (China)
  • Universita di Modena e Reggio Emilia Hospital
  • Indiana University System
  • Azienda Ospedaliera San Camillo-Forlanini
  • University of Barcelona
  • University of Pisa
  • Medical University of Warsaw
  • IRCCS Istituto Mediterraneo per i Trapianti e Terapie ad Alta Specializzazione (ISMETT) - Palermo
  • Newcastle upon Tyne Hospitals NHS Foundation Trust
  • Hospital Universitario Del Mar
  • Chiang Mai University
  • Assistance publique – Hôpitaux de Paris
  • University of Maryland Medical System
  • University of Milan
  • Fundación Cardioinfantil - Instituto de Cardiología
  • National Medical Research Center of Transplantation and Artificial Organs named after V.I. Shumakov
  • Chulalongkorn University
  • Eberhard Karls University of Tübingen
  • Georgetown University

Research output: Contribution to journal › Article › Academic › peer-review

8 Citations (Scopus)
100 Downloads (Pure)

Abstract

More liver transplants (LT) are performed worldwide thanks to extended criteria donors (ECD). This is paralleled by a supposed increased risk of allograft failure (AF) at 90 and 365 days. This study has been designed to portray the LT practice worldwide and investigate models of AF prediction and the impact of risk mitigation strategies for further improving graft and patient outcomes. This is a multicenter, international, non-competitive, observational two segment study on consecutive LTs over two periods (2017-2019 and 2022-2024). A steering committee of LT experts defined the study protocol. The prospective segment will enroll 750 patients from 15 high-volume LT centers (50 per center), and the retrospective segment will enrol 4200 patients from 56 LT centers (75 per center). To provide a snapshot of the LT activity globally and to develop new algorithms for the timely prediction of AF at 90 and 365 days post-LT. The study also aims (1) to validate the existing predictive models and (2) to investigate the best time for re-transplantation, paying attention to the differences in AF and Ischemic cholangiopathy according to the donor types and mitigation strategies implemented in the various settings. Since the adoption of machine perfusion has increased in different proportions worldwide, models will be adjusted according to this parameter. Finally, retrospective and prospective data will be available for further stratifications and modelling according to the degree of decompensation at transplant, gender match, postoperative complications and their management. This protocol was approved by Fondazione Policlinico Universitario Agostino Gemelli IRCCS Ethics Committee (study ID: 4571) and the Institutional Review Board of the University of California, Los Angeles. The provisional study protocol was submitted to the main scientific international societies in the transplant field. Results will be published in international peer-reviewed journals and presented at congresses.
Original languageEnglish
Article numbere204095
Pages (from-to)645-664
Number of pages20
JournalUpdates in Surgery
Volume77
Issue number3
Early online dateMar 2025
DOIs
Publication statusPublished - Jun 2025

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© The Author(s) 2025.

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