PyTimeVar: A Python Package for Trending Time-Varying Time Series Models

Mingxuan Song, Bernhard van der Sluis, Yicong Lin*

*Corresponding author for this work

Research output: Working paperAcademic

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Abstract

Time-varying regression models with trends are commonly used to analyze long-term tendencies and evolving relationships in data. However, statistical inference for parameter paths is challenging, and recent literature has proposed various bootstrap methods to address this issue. Despite this, no software package in any language has yet offered the recently developed tools for conducting inference in time-varying regression models. We propose PyTimeVar, a Python package that implements nonparametric estimation along with multiple new bootstrap-assisted inference methods. It provides a range of
bootstrap techniques for constructing pointwise confidence intervals and simultaneous bands for parameter curves. Additionally, the package includes four widely used methods for modeling trends and time-varying relationships. This allows users to compare different approaches within a unified environment.
Original languageEnglish
Publication statusPublished - 27 Sept 2024

Bibliographical note

JEL
C14, C22, C87

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